by Chris McLaughlin
Gordon Brown is facing a possible challenge to his leadership early next year in a “last-ditch” move to avert a Labour Party annihilation at the general election.
The growing support for a change of leadership, which is being taken seriously by Downing Street, will be tested next week when nominations open for the chair of the parliamentary committee of Labour MPs.
The publicly little-known office is being seen as a lightning rod symbol of support for Mr Brown, whose aides fear the result could trigger a leadership challenge when the Commons returns from the Christmas recess in the new year.
MPs in favour of a challenge are telling colleagues that a change in leadership, coupled with an immediate announcement of an election to be held in March, would save Labour at least 50 seats, according to some recent polling, and, at worst, deny the Tories’ David Cameron a working majority.
The possibility of a challenge is to be openly debated next weekend at the annual general meeting of the pressure group Compass, which commands the largest informal grouping of Labour MPs in the Commons.
Momentum for change has been fired by a Guardian report citing internal party polling which was said to suggest that Labour could be reduced to a rump of 120 MPs if Mr Brown leads it into the election.
Neal Lawson of Compass defended the need for a democratic debate about what could be the end of the Labour Party. “The long-term survival of the party is in jeopardy and the question is do we just sit still and let it happen.
“The alternatives are not comfortable and, of course we want to take Labour back to being a democratic socialist party. But the more pressing issue is whether or not there is going to be a party left to change.”
The vote for the parliamentary committee post – which is decided by a ballot of all Labour backbenchers – takes place days after the Compass debate. Huddersfield MP Barry Sheerman, who has made clear his view that Mr Brown should be replaced, has indicated that he is considering challenging Brown-supporting incumbent Tony Lloyd, MP for Manchester Central.
The parliamentary committee is the official channel between the Prime Minister and backbenchers but the election of officers this year is being seen as a potential test-run for a leadership challenge.
If a challenger to Mr Lloyd, standing on a Brown-must-go ticket, won 80-100 votes a contest would be deemed viable. Pressure would then increase on Foreign Secretary David Miliband and Home Secretary Alan Johnson to throw their hat into the ring.
There are doubts over whether Mr Sheerman has sufficient personal support to bring in the necessary votes to clear the 75 threshold of signatures that would be required to trigger a contest and support is being canvassed for former minister Malcolm Wicks, MP for Croydon North. Mr Wicks is co-ordinator of the recently-formed Labour Future Group of MPs, which includes several who have publicly called for Mr Brown to go, including former Home Secretary Charles Clarke.
The mood for what one supporter called a “last-ditch effort to save the Labour Party”, has been bolstered by a Populus poll for The Times earlier this week which put the Tories’ lead at just 10 points, on 39 per cent to Labour’s 29 per cent, barely sufficient to give Mr Cameron a majority.
A reduction of Labour’s 351 MPs to 120 would require a Tory lead closer to an improbable 28 points. Most polls put the lead around 13-14 per cent, a gap which a growing number of Mps feel could be significantly closed with a change of leader.

