With the talk of hung parliaments – and some more cynical people volunteering to bring the noose – some number crunching may be in order. The poll of polls on
April 27 put the Tories were on 33 per cent, the Liberal Democrats second on 30 per cent and Labour third on 28 per cent. Other parties collectively got 9 per cent. While psephologists might politely describe Labour’s showing as “not very good”, according to their transfer of these figures into seats, Labour would be the largest party on 276 – 50 short of an overall majority. On these figures, the Conservatives are predicted to get 245 seats and the Lib Dems 100. There would be 29 “others” in the House of Commons. If that does turn out to be the result, there could be a fair amount of “agreeing with Nick” to come.
How “not very good” could end up being “just good enough”
by John Street
Friday, April 30th, 2010
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