Tory myth number three: Crime has soared under Labour leading to David Cameron’s “broken Britain”.
The Tory leader enlisted a bereaved former soap opera star to support his party’s claims that Britain today is far less safe than it was when Labour came to power in 1997.
His “broken Britain” mantra has been a cornerstone of his party’s election campaign and one that has been echoed by the Liberal Democrats.
Mr Cameron’s claim is, according to non-partisan experts, just plain wrong and flies in the face of statistical and empirical evidence.
But it does not help Labour’s case that one of its own advisors, Louise Casey, told the Police Review that ordinary people no longer trust official crime statistics.
Certainly, the Tories have tried hard to discredit the figures that disprove their thesis, focusing some of their firepower on the widely-respected British Crime Survey. It found violent crime has dropped by 49 per cent since 1995. Elsewhere, all neutral statistical sources show a downward trend.
Tories have tried to disown the BCS figures because they don’t include murder and don’t recognise the true extent of crime among 16 to 24-year-olds.
But figures for 2008/9 show that at 651, the murder rate is at its lowest for a decade.
Sir Michael Scholar, the chairman of the UK Statistics Authority since 2007, criticised the Government’s “premature, irregular and selective” use of crime statistics.
But Shadow Home Secretary Chris Grayling has also come in for criticism from non-partisan academics and officials over his own selective use of statistics and choosing to ignore that in 2002 the methodology was changed, materially altering the data.
Professor Rod Morgan, the joint editor of the Oxford Handbook of Criminology, was asked on BBC Radio 4 about Tory claims that Britain is more dangerous today than 13 years ago. “I think that position is not defensible. All the evidence suggests that volume crime, including violent crime is significantly down.” The Tories are simply wrong to say otherwise, he said.
“I think because there is a genuine view right across the political spectrum that the major parties have out-toughed each other in an unsustainable way and crime has become, alongside the cuts that are in the pipeline, the great unmentionable.”
If there is more crime 13 years on, it may just be because Labour has created more crimes: 50 Criminal Justice Bills and 4,300 newly created offences overall.
What is equally overlooked is the marked increase in reports of domestic and sexual violence because of a deliberate campaign to encourage people to come forward.
This is crime that has always been there, unseen by the statistics, and it can only be progressive that it is at last coming out into daylight.


